He might be overvalued from a betting perspective , but doesn't change the fact that he is the favorite.
I think they got it right, Herbert #2 in quite a few shops. Can't argue with that either. Both are studs. Mahomes has regressed some , Rodgers has a trifecta working against him , Brady going to have a tough year , he's probably the QB that can't survive a bad OL, with his lack of mobility.
Burrow has more to prove imo , that frame of his would have me worried about future injuries and taking hits.
I'd put Stafford and Wilson ahead of Burrow. More proven and maybe a career MVP is in order with a great year. Just my opinion. Taylor fits in there somewhere also.
Interesting take
I guess the first thing I'd say is how does Burrow has more to prove, but Herbert doesn't. Burrow averaged 8.9 yards per attempt in a pretty pass-heavy offense last year with the weakest offensive line of the other 5 QBs I mentioned (Brady, Rodgers, Mahomes, Allen, Herbert). Burrow actually dominated that category over those guys. The margins were pretty remarkable.
For perspective, this was their yards per attempt:
Burrow 8.9
Rodgers 7.7
Herbert 7.5
Brady 7.3
Mahomes 7.4
Allen 6.8
He led the league in that, as well as completion percentage -- which is noteworthy given that Burrow wasn't doing much dinking and dunking.
Burrow 70.4%
Rodgers 68.9%
Brady 67.5%
Mahomes 66.3%
Herbert 65.9%
Allen 63.3%
Burrow has also had playoff success. Just his second year and he's already taken a historically bad franchise to the Super Bowl and completely changed the culture.
To me, Herbert is the one who has the most to prove/is the more unknown. He's looked great and is clearly talented, but I think Burrow should be considered a better QB at this point than him.
With odds stuff, I think Bills and Chargers in general are pretty overvalued. MVP is obviously a function of team success. Chargers historically have good teams on paper and find ways to disappoint/not live up to expectations. Happened last year, and probably will happen this year too.